A-Z Popular Blog Economics Search »
Investing
 Advertisements
Related Guides
Investing

What is Greater Fool Theory?

 , updated on
Greater fool theory is a hypothesis that explains the occurrence of speculative bubbles that inflate the price of assets such as stocks, real estate and commodities far beyond their intrinsic value.
The idea is that people may realize that prices no longer reflect a realistic assessment of value but don't care because prices continue to rise as newcomers enter the market attracted by recent returns.
Asset bubbles tend to attract media attention that draws new investors. Investors may be conservative at first but after experiencing positive returns they tend to get more aggressive. The result is that a market that goes up can draw a great deal more investment as word spreads. This can keep prices rising far beyond intrinsic value.
In this scenario, the speculative bubble may not crash until the supply of new investment, or "fools", dries up. The investors left holding the assets when they crash typically experience large losses, particularly those who bought towards the end.
Overview: Greater Fool Theory
Type
Definition
The theory that market participants may trade assets that they know are overvalued because prices keep going up as new money enters the market chasing recent returns.
Value
Explains apparently irrational market prices.
Related Concepts

Investing

This is the complete list of articles we have written about investing.
Animal Spirits
Arbitrage
Behavioral Finance
Business Cycle
Business Risks
Calculated Risk
Capital Flight
Capitulation
Channel Check
Cost Of Capital
Creative Destruction
Defensive Pessimism
Do Nothing Strategy
Financial Analysis
Greater Fool Theory
Home Bias
Investing Risk
Invisible Hand
Liquidity Risk
Model Risk
Moment Of Risk
Mr Market
Noise Traders
Risk Of Ruin
Rule Of Three
Uneconomic Growth
Value Trap
More ...
If you enjoyed this page, please consider bookmarking Simplicable.
 

Alpha vs Beta

The difference between two common investment measurements.

Regression Toward The Mean

An overview of Regression Toward The Mean.

Efficient Market Hypothesis

An overview of the Efficient Market Hypothesis.

Animal Spirits

An overview of animal spirits, a theory of investing.

Financial Markets

A definition of financial market with examples.

Mr Market

A definition of Mr. Market, an investing theory.

Organic Growth

A definition of organic growth with examples.

Concept Company

The common types of concept company.

Information Costs

A definition of information costs with examples.

Channel Check

The definition of channel check with examples.

Economic Theories

A list of economic theories that are particularly useful for business.

Adverse Selection

The tendency for people at high risk to buy insurance.

Economic Advantage

A list of economic positions or capabilities that allow you to outperform in a particular industry.

Knowledge Work

A definition of knowledge work with examples.

Production

A definition of production with examples.

Post Scarcity

An overview of post-scarcity.

Economic Infrastructure

The common types of economic infrastructure.

Business Competition

The common types of business competition.

Inefficiency

The common types of inefficiency.

Supply Examples

An overview of supply with common examples.
The most popular articles on Simplicable in the past day.

New Articles

Recent posts or updates on Simplicable.
Site Map